Thursday, November 9, 2017

Will J.D. Martinez Get A Contract He Likes?

J.D. Martinez, who turned out to be a big addition for the Dbacks on their way to the playoffs, is now on the free agent market and is looking to cash in big time.

There's no doubt that Martinez is probably the best outfield get in baseball and he wants to get paid big time for it.

According to MLB's Jerry Carsick and Martinez's agent Scott Boras, Martinez is looking for something in the $200 million range that he wants to get paid, either by the Dbacks or by a new team that must want to pay him that money.


Boras is not joking on this one. He believes Martinez is worth that money and said earlier that free agent pitcher Jake Arrieta has a better track record as a pitcher than Max Scherzer, David Price, and Zack Greinke, who all signed contracts that were more than $200 million.

Another free agent player, Eric Hosmer, is also represented by Boras and he is also looking for something around $200 million. Sounds to me like Boras is trying to get these teams to pay up for high-quality players, though I don't believe that Martinez is a higher quality player than either Hosmer or the pitchers that I mentioned earlier.

Boras seems to be suggesting that the Dbacks may be the best get to sign him to that much money, saying, "You don't sign Greinke and not sign this guy...I mean, once you drop in the pool, you're in the water. Once you're in the water, it's kind of hard to say you're not wet."

Ok. I'll be honest, this is one of the weirdest ways to say that Martinez is a valuable member of this franchise. But, if I get what Boras is saying, he's basically saying that Martinez is worth the risk of $200 million for the Dbacks. The question is: Are the Dbacks really going to sign him to that much money? Because if they do, they might not have enough to sign other quality players they may be looking at as well.

It may be worth it, considering that the last four seasons, Martinez has slugged around .545 or better. His .574 slugging percentage is ranked 2nd in the MLB, behind only my hero on the Angels Mike Trout. And by the way, there are eight position players in the MLB that were given big contracts of equal to or more than $200 million over their careers, and they include names like Giancarlo Stanton, Alex Rodriguez, and Joey Votto. Only one name was worth it among these three and that was A-Rod. Stanton's team is not producing and Votto is still not the All-Star player the Reds expected him to be.

So the question is: Will Martinez get the $200 million that Boras is looking for? No. Absolutely not. He's probably not worth $200 million and not for a guy who has trouble in the right field area. He's worth it as a hitter, which is why I believe he could end back up in the American League, where he was with the Tigers all those years. But I don't think he's worth $200 million and I think Boras may be overlooking the value for Martinez. Yes, I agree he's a terrific player and a team will be lucky to have him, but his defense and his field play is one of the things I worry about with Martinez, and that will probably stray teams away from signing him to that much money.

I don't think he's getting $200 million and if that's the case, the Dbacks will not bring him back. They have to move on if his agent is demanding that sort of money. The Dbacks don't have that kind of money. The Dodgers and the Yankees are more likely to have that money to use that the Dbacks do. The Dbacks are a good team but they're also a budget-minded team and signing him to this kind of deal signifies that if he's a bust, they might not be good again this year. The Dbacks have something going, but the last year thing they did is to take a big risk on somebody who could have a bunch of bad years ahead. No, unfortunately, he's not worth it. He's going to end up somewhere else and it's going to be a contract that's a lot smaller than $200 million. It's just not going to happen. It's not worth the efforts and teams understand that.

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